Based on current returns:
Projected votes: 193 Bush, 112 Kerry
Montana: Bush for 3
Colorado: Bush for 9
New Mexico: Bush for 5
Arizona: Bush for 10
Minnesota: Kerry for 10
Iowa: Kerry for 7 (although this is REALLY close -- 14,000 votes with only 11% precincts reporting)
Wisconsin: Bush for 10
Michigan: Bush for 17
Ohio: Bush for 20
Pennsylvania: Kerry for 21
Florida: Bush for 27
New Hampshire: Kerry for 4 (this is also REALLY close -- 450 votes with 51% precincts reporting)
Brings us to a grand total of:
Bush 294
Kerry 154
That does not include Washington, Idaho, California, Oregon, Alaska, or Hawaii, or Nevada, which was processing but did not have data available at the time.
If that data is correct those states not counted are not going to make a difference. I sure hope bush wins ohio like you say.